Topic XII. Calibration of Credence Levels
Context for this filter:
- B. CONCEPT ACQUISITION
- People (including many experts) tend to over-estimate their accuracy at high confidence levels (and under-estimate it at low-confidence levels).
- Cautionary Quotes: Mistakes, Misconceptions, & Misunderstandings
- Discussion Questions
- What are the costs of underestimating one's credence level at a low level of confidence?