Topic XII. Calibration of Credence Levels
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Context for this filter:
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LEARNING GOALS
- B. CONCEPT ACQUISITION
- Error Bars: Smaller bars on a graph that show the range of likely true values around the observed value, typically a 95% confidence interval, or the observed value +/- the standard error or standard deviation.
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LEARNING GOALS
- C. CONCEPT APPLICATION
- Compare reliability of sources of information on the basis of their assiduousness in determining confidence levels and probabilistic ranges for results (e.g., confidence intervals, error bars).
CLASS ELEMENTS
- Discussion Questions
- What are the costs of overestimating one's credence level at a high level of confidence?